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John Hancock: Weekly Market Recap Week Ended July 11

July 15, 2025

Earnings ahead

As major U.S. banks prepared to open quarterly earnings season in mid-July, analysts were forecasting that second-quarter earnings for all companies in the S&P 500 rose by an average of 4.8% overall, according to FactSet. If that turns out to be the actual rate, it would be the slowest earnings growth since the fourth quarter of 2023.

 

Dividend slowdown

The growth rate for dividend payments by U.S. companies slowed sharply in this year’s second quarter. The $7.4 billion in net dividend increases recorded by companies in the S&P 500 was less than half of the first quarter’s $15.3 billion figure, according to S&P Dow Jones Indices, which attributed the slowdown to the uncertainty that companies face over elevated tariffs.

 

CPI ahead

A Consumer Price Index report scheduled for release on Tuesday could show whether a recent trend of mostly stable inflationary pressures extended into June despite elevated tariffs. Last month’s CPI report showed an annual rate of 2.4% in May—in line with expectations and slightly above a four-year low of 2.3% recorded in April.

 

Metals rally

The price of copper surged 13% to a record high on Tuesday after the Trump administration announced a 50% tariff on copper imports to the United States. Silver futures also rallied, posting a weekly gain of around 6% as the metal climbed to the highest price since mid-2011.

 

SOURCE: https://www.jhinvestments.com/weekly-market-recap#market-moving-news

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RISK: There are risks involved with investing, including loss of principal. Current and future portfolio holdings are subject to risks as well. Diversification may not protect against market risk. There is no assurance the goals of the strategies discussed will be met. International investments may involve risk of capital loss from unfavorable fluctuation in currency values, from difference in generally accepted accounting in principles or from economic or political instability in other nations. Emerging markets involve heightened risks related to the same factors as well as increased volatility and lower trading volume. Bonds and bond funds will decrease in value as interest rates rise. These and other risks are described more fully in the fund’s prospectus. CREDIT RISK: The issuer of a fixed income security may not be able to make interest and principal payments when due. The lower the credit rating of a security, the greater the risk of default on its obligation.

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