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John Hancock: Weekly Market Recap Week Ended June 27

June 30, 2025

Falling yields

Yields of U.S. government bonds fell for the third week in a row, with yields of notes with shorter maturities posting the biggest declines. On Friday afternoon, the yield of the 10-year U.S. Treasury was 4.28%, down from a recent peak of 4.60% on May 21.

Trade talks

Ahead of a July 9 deadline on reciprocal tariffs, investor sentiment was lifted by updates from the Trump administration on negotiations with China and the European Union. However, the administration on Friday afternoon terminated trade talks with Canada in a dispute over dairy product tariffs and a digital services tax.

Market calm

At roughly the midpoint of 2025, an index that measures investors’ expectations of short-term U.S. stock market volatility was slightly below its year-end 2024 level and down sharply from its year-to-date high reached in early April. The Cboe Volatility Index closed at 16.3 on Friday, below its year-end level of 17.4 and down from 52.3 on April 8.

Jobs ahead

A monthly labor market report due out on Thursday—the day before a U.S. market closure due to the Independence Day holiday—will show whether a recent trend of moderate but better-than-expected jobs growth extended into June. In May, the economy generated 139,000 jobs, above consensus expectations for around 130,000. However, initial estimates for the previous two months’ gains were revised downward.

 

SOURCE:https://www.jhinvestments.com/weekly-market-recap#market-moving-news

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RISK: There are risks involved with investing, including loss of principal. Current and future portfolio holdings are subject to risks as well. Diversification may not protect against market risk. There is no assurance the goals of the strategies discussed will be met. International investments may involve risk of capital loss from unfavorable fluctuation in currency values, from difference in generally accepted accounting in principles or from economic or political instability in other nations. Emerging markets involve heightened risks related to the same factors as well as increased volatility and lower trading volume. Bonds and bond funds will decrease in value as interest rates rise. These and other risks are described more fully in the fund’s prospectus. CREDIT RISK: The issuer of a fixed income security may not be able to make interest and principal payments when due. The lower the credit rating of a security, the greater the risk of default on its obligation.

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