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John Hancock: Weekly Market Recap Week Ended January 24

January 28, 2025

Earnings progress

Expectations rose slightly as a second week’s batch of quarterly results came in. As of Friday, fourth-quarter net income was expected to rise by 12.7% compared with the year-ago quarter, based on S&P 500 companies that have already reported plus projections for those that haven’t yet released results. Such an outcome would mark the highest quarterly earnings growth rate in three years, according to FactSet.

 

Consumer worries

U.S. consumer sentiment weakened in January for the first time in six months, based on Friday’s reading from a University of Michigan survey. Relative to the previous month’s survey, growing numbers of participants said that they expect inflation and unemployment will rise this year.

 

Fed ahead

It’s widely expected that the U.S. Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged when it concludes a two-day meeting on Wednesday, although post-meeting comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell could move markets. The Fed cut rates a full percentage point in its final three policy meetings of 2024, but the outlook for further cuts has been clouded by mixed readings on inflation.

 

U.S. Q4 GDP pending

Thursday’s scheduled release of the U.S. government’s initial estimate of fourth-quarter GDP is expected to show that the economy remained on a solid growth track. The pending result will follow the 3.1% annual growth rate that the economy posted in last year’s third quarter and a 2.0% figure in the second quarter.

 

SOURCE: https://www.jhinvestments.com/weekly-market-recap#market-moving-news

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RISK: There are risks involved with investing, including loss of principal. Current and future portfolio holdings are subject to risks as well. Diversification may not protect against market risk. There is no assurance the goals of the strategies discussed will be met. International investments may involve risk of capital loss from unfavorable fluctuation in currency values, from difference in generally accepted accounting in principles or from economic or political instability in other nations. Emerging markets involve heightened risks related to the same factors as well as increased volatility and lower trading volume. Bonds and bond funds will decrease in value as interest rates rise. These and other risks are described more fully in the fund’s prospectus. CREDIT RISK: The issuer of a fixed income security may not be able to make interest and principal payments when due. The lower the credit rating of a security, the greater the risk of default on its obligation.

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