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Alliance Bernstein: Global Macro Outlook Second Quarter 2023

April 19, 2023
Key Forecast Trends
  • The 2023 outlook has become murkier rather than clearer. In addition to an ongoing inflation problem, policymakers and investors alike now grapple with financial sector turmoil.
  • Services inflation in particular shows few signs of slowing as yet, and we expect that it will take a prolonged period of below-trend growth to bring price pressures under control. In that respect, the impact of the banking turmoil may prove helpful.
  • In Europe, a mild winter and sharp decline in natural gas prices have mitigated much of the downside economic risk we identified last year.
  • China has fully reopened its economy from pandemic-led shutdowns, and we expect no further disruptions.
  • We expect only a mild recession in most regions and a considerably brighter outlook toward year-end. For investors, this argues for caution, not panic.

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RISK: There are risks involved with investing, including loss of principal. Current and future portfolio holdings are subject to risks as well. Diversification may not protect against market risk. There is no assurance the goals of the strategies discussed will be met. International investments may involve risk of capital loss from unfavorable fluctuation in currency values, from difference in generally accepted accounting in principles or from economic or political instability in other nations. Emerging markets involve heightened risks related to the same factors as well as increased volatility and lower trading volume. Bonds and bond funds will decrease in value as interest rates rise. These and other risks are described more fully in the fund’s prospectus. CREDIT RISK: The issuer of a fixed income security may not be able to make interest and principal payments when due. The lower the credit rating of a security, the greater the risk of default on its obligation.

Investors should consider the investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of the Fund carefully before investing. This and other information is contained in the Fund’s prospectus and summary prospectus, which may be obtained online or by calling 1-888-507-2798.

Please read the prospectus carefully before investing.