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John Hancock: Weekly Market Recap Week Ended August 4

August 8, 2023

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Earnings season

84% of the companies in the S&P 500 have reported Q2 2023 earnings to date. Among those companies that released second-quarter results as of Friday, 79% exceeded net income expectations, topping the five-year average of 77%, according to FactSet. Overall, earnings are expected to decline about 5.7% relative to a year ago, which will mark the largest earnings decline reported by the index since Q3 2020.

 

Credit downgrade

Ratings agency Fitch unexpectedly downgraded the U.S. credit rating on Tuesday from AAA to AA+. The agency cited the recent debt ceiling standoff and concern over rising federal debt as factors leading to an “erosion of governance.”

 

Oil prices rally

Oil prices rose on Thursday after news that Saudi Arabia’s voluntary production cuts would extend to September and possibly beyond. Oil prices had declined earlier in the week but rebounded on supply concerns, ending the week at over $80 per barrel.

 

Price check ahead

A Consumer Price Index report scheduled to be released on Thursday will show whether the recent moderation in inflation extended into July. The most recent CPI report for June showed that annual inflation decelerated to 3.0%—the lowest level since March 2021 and down sharply from a four-decade high of 9.1% recorded in June 2022.