John Hancock: Weekly Market Recap Week Ended February 17th
Inflation’s persistence
Mixed readings on inflation fueled concerns that the U.S. Federal Reserve may extend its rate-hiking cycle longer than expected. Tuesday’s Consumer Price Index release showed a smaller-than-expected decline to an annual inflation rate of 6.4%; a separate report on Thursday indicated that prices charged by industrial suppliers rose more than had been forecast.
Rising yields
The latest data on inflation pushed the yields of 2- and 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds to their highest levels in more than three months. The 2-year’s yield rose to 4.61% on Friday while the 10-year’s yield was 3.83%—maintaining a yield curve inversion, with short-term debt yielding more than long-term debt.
Earnings slog
Earnings continued to be subpar, with fourth-quarter results now released for more than 80% of the companies in the S&P 500. As of Friday, earnings were expected to decline 4.7% compared with the same quarter a year ago, based on companies that have reported as well as forecasts for firms that haven’t yet reported.
Price check ahead
An update of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge for tracking inflation is scheduled for Friday. In the most recent release on January 27, the government reported that its Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index rose at an annual 5.0% rate in December, down from 5.5% the previous month. Excluding food and energy, prices rose at a 4.4% annual rate—the lowest in 14 months.
Source: https://wmr.jhinvestments.com/