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John Hancock: Weekly Market Recap Week Ended February 7

February 11, 2025

Rising earnings

More than halfway through earnings season, fourth-quarter results continued to exceed analysts’ expectations. As of Friday, earnings were expected to rise 16.4% compared with the year-ago quarter, based on S&P 500 companies that have already reported plus projections for those that hadn’t yet released results. Prior to earnings season, analysts had forecast an 11.8% growth rate, according to FactSet.

Mixed jobs report

January’s gain of 143,000 jobs came in short of analysts’ expectations and marked a slowdown from the previous month’s figure. However, there were plenty of positives in the report; initial jobs growth estimates for November and December were revised upward by a combined 100,000 and the unemployment rate slipped from 4.1% to 4.0%.

Another gold record

The price of gold set a record high for the second week in a row, extending a nearly three-month price surge for the precious metal. On Friday, gold briefly traded above the $2,900-per-ounce level for the first time before retreating slightly to around $2,890 in afternoon trading. Twelve months ago, gold was trading just above $2,000.

Yield decline

The yield of the 10-year U.S. Treasury note fell for the third week out of the past four as investors reassessed the outlook on inflation and U.S. Federal Reserve policy. Friday’s closing yield was around 4.49%, down from a recent high of 4.80% on January 13.

 

Source: https://www.jhinvestments.com/weekly-market-recap#market-moving-news

 

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RISK: There are risks involved with investing, including loss of principal. Current and future portfolio holdings are subject to risks as well. Diversification may not protect against market risk. There is no assurance the goals of the strategies discussed will be met. International investments may involve risk of capital loss from unfavorable fluctuation in currency values, from difference in generally accepted accounting in principles or from economic or political instability in other nations. Emerging markets involve heightened risks related to the same factors as well as increased volatility and lower trading volume. Bonds and bond funds will decrease in value as interest rates rise. These and other risks are described more fully in the fund’s prospectus. CREDIT RISK: The issuer of a fixed income security may not be able to make interest and principal payments when due. The lower the credit rating of a security, the greater the risk of default on its obligation.

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