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Visual Capitalist: Visualizing Asset Class Returns In Q1 2025

April 8, 2025

Key Takeaways

  • As one of the top performing assets in Q1 2025, gold soared to record highs amid global trade uncertainty and its role as an inflation hedge.
  • European equities also had a strong quarter, with the STOXX Europe 600 outperforming the S&P 500 by 9.8 percentage points.
  • Amid concerns of weaker economic growth and rising inflation, U.S. equities had their worst quarter since 2022.

As a flurry of tariffs are upending global trade alliances, asset returns are taking a new turn.

Unlike the past two years, where U.S. stocks dominated, they are now facing a steepening selloff. Meanwhile, safe haven assets like gold and long-duration Treasuries are outperforming many other asset classes.

This graphic shows asset class returns in Q1 2025, based on various sources.

Asset Class Returns in a Shifting Landscape

Below, we rank the performance of major asset classes so far in 2025:

Asset ClassIndexQ1 2025 Returns
GoldLondon Fix19.0%
Europe EquitiesSTOXX Europe 6005.2%
Emerging Market EquitiesiShares MSCI Emerging Index Fund4.5%
Long Duration TreasurysiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF4.2%
CommoditiesS&P Goldman Sachs Commodity Index3.4%
U.S. REITsDow Jones Real Estate Index2.6%
Crude OilWTI-0.7%
U.S. Dollar IndexU.S. Dollar Index-4.0%
U.S. Large CapsS&P 500-4.6%
U.S. Small CapsRussell 2000-9.8%
Bitcoin-11.5%

 

In late March, gold hit all-time highs of over $3,100 amid ongoing trade tensions, making it a top-performing asset over the quarter.

Also driving returns are gold ETF inflows and central bank purchases. By year-end, gold is projected to reach as high as $3,300 per ounce amid sustained central bank demand.

Notably, European stocks posted their strongest quarter relative to the S&P 500 since 2015, driven by the bloc’s plans to increase defense spending by up to $840 billion. This surge in military investment is expected to fuel economic growth across the region. Overall, European stocks gained 5.2% as investors have increasingly looked to the continent.

Going further, U.S. large caps closed off the quarter with -4.6% returns, with major tech giants among the hardest hit. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar weakened by 4% as confidence in the U.S. economy declined—boosting nearly all developed market currencies against the dollar.

 

Source: https://www.visualcapitalist.com/asset-class-returns-in-q1-2025/